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2024-12-14 11:30:41

The CSI convertible bond index closed down 0.42% at midday, while Z-mode convertible bond, Tongguang convertible bond and future convertible bond fell 8.76%, 6.00% and 5.21% respectively. Lide convertible bonds rose by 20.00% and Guiguang convertible bonds rose by 7.60%.Five bodies were found in a pickup truck on the intercity highway in Guanajuato, Mexico. On December 12, local time, the Public Security Office of Salvatierra, Guanajuato, a central Mexican province, said that the police found five bodies in a pickup truck on the intercity highway in this area. It is reported that five bodies were packed in plastic bags and discarded in a pickup truck. The Office of the Attorney General of Guanajuato will investigate the case.CICC: Gradually filling the gap between inflation and demand will be the direction of economic work next year. The Central Economic Work Conference will be held in Beijing from December 11th to 12th. The research department of CICC believes that for the economic goal of next year, after "maintaining stable economic growth", the meeting proposed to "maintain overall stability in employment and prices" and put forward "focusing on goal guidance and striving to achieve an optimal combination of stable growth, stable employment and reasonable price recovery". This is the first time in the past 15 years that "stabilizing prices" has been taken as the goal of annual economic work during the period of low prices. The research department of CICC believes that gradually bridging the inflation gap and demand gap will be the direction of economic work next year.


Ye Fan, Southwest Securities: In 2025, the upward trend of domestic economy will continue, and it is estimated that the annual RRR will be lowered by about 100bp. The Central Economic Work Conference will be held in Beijing from December 11th to 12th. Ye Fan, chief economist of Southwest Securities, said that in 2025, the domestic economy will continue to stabilize and upward under the policy. From the structural point of view, infrastructure and manufacturing investment are expected to remain the main support items for domestic investment next year, and the decline in real estate investment will gradually narrow; Domestic demand is expected to play a stronger role in stimulating the economy than external demand, and domestic residents' consumption is expected to continue to pick up under the policy. Regarding the direction of fiscal and monetary policies, Ye Fan predicted that the issuance scale of ultra-long-term special government bonds will be around 1.5 trillion -2 trillion yuan in 2025, and it will continue to support the "dual" areas. In the first half of next year or the peak of government bond issuance, there may be a RRR cut for hedging. It is estimated that the RRR cut will be about 100bp for the whole year, and the interest rate cut will be decided by camera. The interest rate cut of 25bp-40bp may be promoted step by step.CICC: Depleting inventories to eliminate excess supply is still the main direction. The Central Economic Work Conference was held in Beijing from December 11th to 12th. In terms of real estate, the meeting will "continue to push the real estate market to stop falling and stabilize" as the primary task of risk prevention. The research department of CICC believes that destocking to eliminate excess supply is still the main direction. First, control the supply of new land; second, optimize the supply structure of existing land and commercial housing; it is expected that the supply optimization policies such as land ticket, land exchange and commercial housing reform will be further promoted; third, dispose of existing commercial housing; it is expected that the efforts to store unsold commercial housing and existing second-hand housing for affordable housing will be increased; fourth, intensify the implementation of the renovation of urban villages and dilapidated houses.Tao Lin: Tesla won four firsts in the evaluation of "User Satisfaction Index of New Energy Automobile Industry in China in 2024". Tao Lin Weibo, global vice president of Tesla, issued a document saying: Share a good news with friends. In the evaluation result of "NEV-CACSI of New Energy Automobile Industry in China in 2024" recently released by china association for quality, Won four firsts: Model 3 is the pure electric medium-sized car with the highest user satisfaction, Model Y is the pure electric medium-sized SUV with the highest user satisfaction, the first in sales service satisfaction and the first in after-sales service satisfaction.


Afternoon comments on Hong Kong stocks: Hang Seng Index fell by 1.66%, Hang Seng Technology Index fell by 1.95%, Hong Kong stocks closed at noon, Hang Seng Index fell by 1.66% and Hang Seng Technology Index fell by 1.95%. Sunac China fell more than 6%, while Xpeng Motors and CITIC Securities fell more than 4%.Bai Zhongen: Under special circumstances, short-term breakthrough in deficit and debt may help solve long-term problems. Bai Zhongen, president of Tsinghua University Institute of Economics and Management and vice chairman of the All-China Federation of Industry and Commerce, said that in the understanding and implementation of policies, there are sometimes some stereotypes, which make us bound by these stereotypes. Breaking these constraints is very important for our policy understanding and policy implementation. The first mindset is that it will bring moral hazard if the central government helps local governments pay their debts. The second mindset, in the past, some people insisted that the deficit should not exceed a certain proportion and the debt should not exceed a certain proportion. He bluntly said that the upper limit of debt and deficit also depends on short-term and long-term. In the long run, we can't have too many deficits and too many debts. Therefore, when we encounter special circumstances in the short term, we should allow the deficit and debt to exceed a certain ratio.The CSI convertible bond index closed down 0.42% at midday, while Z-mode convertible bond, Tongguang convertible bond and future convertible bond fell 8.76%, 6.00% and 5.21% respectively. Lide convertible bonds rose by 20.00% and Guiguang convertible bonds rose by 7.60%.

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